transition

Economic basic conditions of transition in Czech Republic

Tuesday, September 22nd, 2009 | University | No Comments

In this post I`ll continue the series “Retail in Prague” and focus on economic basic conditions of transition in retail in the Czech Republic.

Because of the centralistic economic structures before 1989 it has been a radical turn towards the market economy during the period of transition. The relative stable economical situation as well as the high acceptance in the population made Vaclav Klaus (financial minister of Czechoslovakia from 1989-1992) to choose the radical strategy of the so called “shock therapy”.  One in all the liberalization of the prices and markets showed a positive development of the GDP especially in the end of the 90ies and 2000 (see cBIP Czechhart).

The main reform in the economic restructuring plan has been the privatization. Private ownership should be replaced by public ownership to get the basics for market competition. Coupons and restitution made sure to involve every Czech into this process.  By the end of 1992 there have been about  100 000 units of small and medium-sized enterprises being privatized (so called “small privatization”), mainly enterprises of the retail, gastronomy and hotel sectors. Therefore the part of the tertiary sector rose to 68%.

Privatization reform in the retail sector had a strong impact on the commercialization and formation of a  city in Prague (in terms of a CBD). The demand of foreign companies for modern office and retail estate in the old town center grew steadily from the beginning of the 90-ies. To preserve and to avoid the modernization of the old city structures the old town has been declared as UNESCO world cultural heritage by the city administration.

In these times the „ decisions of the central government as well as local politicians have been grounded in a neo-liberal approach, which has seen the free, unregulated market as the only mechanism of allocation of resources, that would generate a wealthy, economically efficient and socially just system” (Sykora).  This reserved point of view in terms of market regulation as well as the lacking competence of this stakeholder group   is typical for the institutional reorganization during transition, which will be discussed in the next posts.

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Democratization and Transition from Plan to Market Economy

Tuesday, July 28th, 2009 | Film Reviews, University | 2 Comments

To understand the still ongoing political and economical  processes in Eastern Europe (or especially in Czech Rep.) since 1989, we have to know something  about the existing transition theories. This post gives you a short overview about the main theories predominating the transition research.

Basically there are four directions, which are of importance. It started in the 60-ies with the Systems-Theory of Talcott Parsons which postulates the development of  so called ” evolution universals”. He argued that, like Darwin`s evolution of biological organisms, societies progress through their  “capacity for generalized adaptation” to their environment. This is achieved mainly through the development of specialized institutions to perform the social functions necessary to meet increasingly specialized needs (structural differentiation). Evolution is then from traditional to modern societies, and progress can be charted via bureaucratic organization, money and market complexes, social stratification, cultural legitimation and the emergence of generalized universalised norms.

Seymor M. Lipset advanced Parsons` theory  and developed a casual connection between economical development and democratization.  According to this, a growing GDP entails a better education, growing prosperity, tolerance, moderate working style of policy, a consolidation of civil society and eventually democratic structures.  This steps of development are essential for the neoliberal paradigm which focuses the free market economy with its constitutive criteria ( e.g. private ownership, free price formation, freedom of competition).

This so called Theory of Modernization and Parsons` Systems Theory expanded into the paradigm of the neoliberal institutions like the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (Bretton-Woods institutions). While this neoliberal model of development has been implemented on several countries of the third democratization wave (like India, Latin-America, Portugal) more and more criticism began to rise. Mainly the over- simplification as well as the missing  explanation for the economical development without further democratization such as in several Arabic countries have been criticized.

New approaches in the transition research began to become more and more accepted. The publication of Huntington`s  “Clash of Civilization” in the beginning of the 90-ies focused on the cultural aspects of countries in transition. Cultural theorists assume a close relationship between the secularization of a society and its ability and  success in developing democratic structures. Therefor some societies  just cannot be democratized because of their special religious-cultural roots which cannot be just replaced by new institutions and values.

Another branch of research are the stakeholder theories, which look on the microscopic level at the small elite-groups which seem to control the transition processes in a country. According to this, different  stakeholder combinations can be identified as well as possible activities and developments  be fore-casted. This is the main advantage over the Systems and Modernizing theories.

All in one the four theories complement one another so that a stakeholder analysis cannot be made without a system theoretical background. The multidimensional question of the  success of the Czech transition strategy as well as the initial situation at the retail market  will be targeted in the next post.

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Transition of Retail in Prague- A Stakeholder Analysis

Monday, July 27th, 2009 | University | No Comments

Thesis is done! Now I`ve some time to write about it…Let`s start then!

The collaps of the old socialistic system ushered the former Eastern Bloc states in a new era. The transition from the command towards a free market economy has been a tour de forces which ment a radical social and political change.
This thesis focuses on the transitional process at the retail market which is supposed to be “most sensitive to changes”.
Due to the political and economical changes in the Czech Re-public in the beginning of the nineties, this market underwent significant re-structuring, which had an impact on the real estate market, the supply and demand situation as well as on the spatial structure of the city of Prague.
The co-operation between the major stakeholder groups – urban planning, developer, real estate and trading companies – is of primary importance for the empirical analysis of the thesis. Several experts have been interviewed concerning the above mentioned context in Prague.

In the first place it`s intresting to look at the theory, which I`ll introduce to you in the first part of this post-series.
Then we`ll have look at some examples of retail projects in Prague to visualize the current situation.
In the third part, I`ll analyse the stakeholder co-coperation as well as the impact on the urban planning in Prague.

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Retail in Transition – Case Study Prague

Sunday, December 14th, 2008 | University | No Comments

In terms of my thesis, which is in process right now, I`ll introduce the theme to you in this new series of upcoming posts!

During the economic transition in the Czech Republic since 1990  there`ve been  started reforms on several levels. Restructuring processes in policy, economics, society as well as administration have been initiated by Vaclav Klaus and the so-called “Shock-Treatment”. This transition methodology should guarantee a fast transition from a centrally planed- into a market economy.

A significant role played the restructuring of the retail sector, which is very sensitive to economic changes. It`s sudden expansion had several impacts on real estate markets as well as the city structures. Most important processes if the transition in retail are first, a creation of a estate market, second, a diversification of city functions, third, a scarcity of land in the city. The logical consequence of this development is a dislocation of retail to the periphery of the city (”Greenfield Site”) and therefore a  declining buying power in the city.

Parallel to structional changes in the retail sector, an alteration process started also on the state-administration level. The abolishment of socialistic planning ministries and the formation of new governmental bodies led to several administrative gaps, which diminished just years later. Deficiency of competence and force of achievement as well as the absence of a city development plan gave international investors plenty of rope in their location decision strategies.

In the course of reform consolidation and elaboration of a strategic city development plan for the next two decades until 2020, the line-up of stakeholders in Prague retail began to change.

In the context of those developments the exiting question of distribution of power and competence  in terms of location decision processes in Prague retail sector will be analyzed and partly answered in my theses.

By means of 4-5 retail projects out of different phases of transition  (break, growing, orientation, modernization) shall be exemplified  the formation and change of stakeholder line-up as well as their location decision processes.

Changes of the spacial retail allocation structure (city vs. periphery) and its importance in terms of city planning strategies are further aspects of transition of retail in Prague.

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Retail in Eastern Europe – Poland

Thursday, September 18th, 2008 | University | No Comments

Polish retail market has gone through a rapid transition over the past 15 years. In 2006 sales in retail increased by 8 % and 2008 more than 1 Mio. m² new, modern retail area will accrue. The number of outlets for food-retail also increased up to more then 120 000 units in 2006 with more then 3400 hypermarkets (410) and supermarkets (3003).
With 137m² modern retail space per 1 000 inhabitants Poland has further potential for retail developers (Western Europe average is 200m²/1000 inhabitants) especially in smaller towns since the markets in larger cities are saturated (with 600-800m²/ 1000 inh.). Further constraints for developers result from new (planning) regulations concerning “trade during certain holidays” and “building approvals” for new shopping centres.

The internationalization of the Polish retail market compelled domestic food retail companies to a consolidation process. Emperia Holding is one of the largest Polish retail/wholesale companies which is at market since 1990 and ranks on the 7th position (by profits) among the Top ten retailers at the Polish retail market in 2006.The market leaders are represented by well-known international retail companies Metro (1), Tesco (3), Carrefour (4) and Auchan (5). A Portuguese retailer Jeronimo Martins Dystrybucija (JMD) is the second-largest retailer with more than 1100 outlet-stores across Poland. As the research of GfK indicates, Biedronka (store-chain name of JMD) is the most deeply rooted chain of stores in the customers’ awareness. As small-format supermarkets with an area below 100m² still dominate the Polish market, the Biedronka remains the most popular shopping place for over 55% of the customers.

At the moment, about 94% of total retail outlets have still a trading area below 100m². The greater part of the people (36%) prefers still small stores to make their shopping. On the other side about 24% of Poles prefer the hypermarket as the main shopping place for food. The strong competition from modern (western) companies is continuously weakening the position of traditional distribution channels. Statistics indicate that more shoppers are turning to hypermarkets and the number of people who visit a hypermarket more than once a week doubled compared to 2000 from 19% to 40% in 2005. The number of hypermarkets increased in 2006 by 12 % as well as the amount of supermarkets with an 11% increase. Concerning big retailers as the Metro AG (Real) , Tesco or Carrefour who represent the retail market mostly by hyper-/supermarkets the future development at the Polish market will certainly be positive.
Consolidation among foreign retail chains already straightened the market position of Metro AG, through acquisition of Geant (Casino) and Carrefour of Ahold (NL) in 2006.

The next five years will see very dynamic structural changes in retail trade. Hyper-/supermarkets and discounters will become the leaders in food-retail. The two last-mentioned distribution channels are predicted to develop quicker than other shops. The number of specialized stores will decrease as well as corner grocery stores. Especially, the increasing competition in larger cities from foreign chains will contribute to the withdraw of domestic small-area shops. In rural areas the trend is in contrary the growing number of small shops by domestic retailers. In response to this, foreign companies adjusted their strategies and introduce also smaller shop formats outside urban areas. So the French purchaser Carrefour set up mini-hypermarkets and Carrefour Express with sales-areas of 800-2000m² and announced to continue its expansion.The intense competition adds to more diversity of marketing strategies in terms of quality, brands, efficiency and service.

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Transition of Moscow and the Retail Sector (Part I)

Wednesday, April 9th, 2008 | University | 1 Comment

In 2007 Russia`s capital counts more then 14 Mio. inhabitants, the city ranks first in terms of expensiveness and offers the most dynamic investment activity in the country. This exceptional position of this Megapolis is due to Moscow`s history and the specific spacial structure of Russia. For Moscow is a very complex subject of study, this article picks out just one field to show some (partial) main difficulties of city. The urban management deals with typical changes (and problems) of cities in transition – formation of a real estate market, gentrification, residential-to commercial-conversions, growing of the Tertiary sector, growing traffic volume and the weakness of state authorities to name some of them. On the basis of retail the question of a possible implementation of western patterns will be exemplified.

The historical core forms the Kremlin an MGUat the Moskwa-riverKremlin (fortress), the old slawistic word for ring fence, which was build in the 15th century. The wooden basic fabric of the city (100 000 inhabitants) has been burned down first time by the Tartars in the 16th century and second time by the army of Napoleon in 1812. The reconstruction, which started in 1813, included modernization and expansion of Moscow. The revolutions in 1902 and 1917 entailed that St. Petersburg has been replaced by Moscow as Russia`s capital city in 1918. The socialistic centrally planned economy of the Soviet Union conducted Moscow an outstanding status in terms of political, economic and social role model.

The urban planning which played an important role of the socialistic ideology and was implemented to influence the co-habitance of people demonstrates a very interesting example in the Transition process from plan to market economy. Closely related to the estate market and retail industry, urban planning in Moscow has experienced the most impressive visible change during the past two decades. The privatization of government property contributed to the building of a real estate market where people now are able to buy and sell flats and Dacha’s without the usual counter trading. The privatization of real estate had also a very strong effect in the transitional society for it out marked and opened a gap between the winners and the losers of the transition. The new price level for flats in the city raised at a 1000-fold (gentrification) but also in the suburbs as well as the vicinity of Moscow rents grew exuberantly.Moscow-suburb_1.jpg

Gated communities for the rich high class (”New Russians”) are built near the central district or in the western part of Moscow e.g. Vorob’evy Gory or Kvartal 75. The poorer (and major) part of Moscow`s inhabitants lives in Komunalkas (flat sharing), small flats or just in the vicinity, oscillating between the city and home by Metro.

In line with the change in housing situation, the growing importance of commerce especially in the city (defined by the Garden Ring) is worth to be mentioned as it is actually a response to the changing demand situation. This theme will be explained in detail in Part II.

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